| |
LU9DCE > ALERT 31.05.24 11:00l 589 Lines 17801 Bytes #141 (0) @ WW
BID : 2371_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 31-MAY24
Path: IW8PGT<HB9ON<IW0QNL<JH4XSY<N3HYM<W0ARP<LU9DCE
Sent: 240531/0700Z 2371@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
__ _ _ ___ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____
( ) / )( \/ _ \( \ / __)( __) ( _ \( _ \/ ___)
/ (_/\) \/ (\__ )) D (( (__ ) _) ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \
\____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____) (____/(____/(____/
PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 357
WW 357 SEVERE TSTM LA MS 310310Z - 310700Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 357
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1010 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2024
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1010 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...A LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW
HOURS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF NATCHEZ
MS TO 75 MILES SOUTH OF NATCHEZ MS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE
WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 354...WW 356...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
27035.
...HART
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 356
WW 356 SEVERE TSTM LA TX 310015Z - 310400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 356
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
715 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2024
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY EVENING FROM 715 PM UNTIL 1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS WILL TRACK
EASTWARD INTO THE WATCH AREA THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST STORMS
WILL POSE A RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 90 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST
OF FORT POLK LA TO 35 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF FORT POLK LA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 352...WW 353...WW
354...WW 355...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
28025.
...HART
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 355
WW 355 SEVERE TSTM LA TX 302235Z - 310300Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 355
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
535 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2024
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
NORTHEAST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 535 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...CLUSTERS OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST
TEXAS WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS EVENING, POSING
A RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
SHREVEPORT LA TO 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF NATCHITOCHES LA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 352...WW 353...WW 354...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO
2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A
FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR
27025.
...HART
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC TORNADO WATCH 354
WW 354 TORNADO NM TX 302030Z - 310400Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 354
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2024
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
WEST/SOUTHWEST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING,
INCLUDING NEAR A DRYLINE AS WELL AS AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY, NEAR WHERE
THE GREATEST CONCERN FOR A TORNADO RISK EXISTS. LARGE HAIL AND
SEVERE-CALIBER WIND GUSTS CAN OTHERWISE BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
EVENING.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 110 STATUTE MILES
NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF WINK TX
TO 10 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF SAN ANGELO TX. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 352...WW 353...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN
STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...GUYER
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 357 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0357 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 357
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..05/31/24
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 357
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC025-029-033-037-041-077-091-107-121-125-310440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA FRANKLIN POINTE COUPEE
ST. HELENA TENSAS WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
MSC001-005-021-037-063-157-310440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
FRANKLIN JEFFERSON WILKINSON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 356 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0356 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 356
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW LCH
TO 30 NNE LCH TO 25 WSW ESF TO 30 SW ELD.
..LYONS..05/31/24
ATTN...WFO...LCH...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 356
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-009-039-079-097-310440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN AVOYELLES EVANGELINE
RAPIDES ST. LANDRY
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 355 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0355 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 355
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE POE TO
20 NW ELD.
..LYONS..05/31/24
ATTN...WFO...SHV...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 355
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC013-021-027-043-049-059-061-069-073-111-127-310440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE CALDWELL CLAIBORNE
GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE
LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
UNION WINN
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC TORNADO WATCH 354 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0354 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 354
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE 6R6 TO
20 ENE INK TO 50 S CVS.
..EDWARDS..05/31/24
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 354
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-081-103-105-115-135-165-173-227-235-317-329-335-383-
413-415-431-435-443-451-461-465-310240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN COKE
CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON
ECTOR GAINES GLASSCOCK
HOWARD IRION MARTIN
MIDLAND MITCHELL REAGAN
SCHLEICHER SCURRY STERLING
SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN
UPTON VAL VERDE
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 353 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0353 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 353
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE BWD TO
25 WNW UTS TO 20 NNE LFK TO 30 NNE GGG.
..DEAN..05/31/24
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 353
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-015-027-041-051-093-099-145-185-193-201-281-291-313-331-
333-339-347-373-395-407-455-471-473-477-310140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA AUSTIN BELL
BRAZOS BURLESON COMANCHE
CORYELL FALLS GRIMES
HAMILTON HARRIS LAMPASAS
LIBERTY MADISON MILAM
MILLS MONTGOMERY NACOGDOCHES
POLK ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO
TRINITY WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 352 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0352 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 352
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N HOB TO
60 SSE CVS TO 30 E TCC TO 25 E AMA TO 45 SE BGD TO 20 ENE LBL.
..EDWARDS..05/31/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 352
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-045-069-079-087-107-117-125-129-153-169-189-191-211-
219-263-279-295-303-305-345-369-381-437-445-483-501-310240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CASTRO COCHRAN COLLINGSWORTH
CROSBY DEAF SMITH DICKENS
DONLEY FLOYD GARZA
HALE HALL HEMPHILL
HOCKLEY KENT LAMB
LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MOTLEY PARMER RANDALL
SWISHER TERRY WHEELER
YOAKUM
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI MAY 31 03:32:07 UTC 2024
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI MAY 31 03:32:07 UTC 2024.
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
SPC MAY 31, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2024
VALID 310100Z - 311200Z
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
WEST TEXAS...
...SUMMARY...
A SEVERE THREAT, WITH A POSSIBILITY FOR WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. HAILSTONES OF GREATER THAN 2 INCHES IN
DIAMETER, AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE IN PARTS
OF WEST TEXAS. A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
A COUPLE MORE HOURS IN PARTS OF THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY.
...SOUTHERN PLAINS/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...
THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A MOIST AIRMASS LOCATED ACROSS
MOST OF TEXAS, OKLAHOMA AND KANSAS EXTENDING WESTWARD INTO SOUTHEAST
COLORADO. SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS PARTS
OF WEST TEXAS, THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO. RAP
FORECAST SOUNDINGS EARLY THIS EVENING FROM NEAR AMARILLO SOUTHWARD
TO MIDLAND, TX SHOW A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SUPERCELLS WITH
LARGE HAIL, WITH MLCAPE FROM 2500 TO 4000 J/KG, 700-500 MB LAPSE
RATES FROM 8 TO 8.5 C/KM, AND 0-6 KM SHEAR IN THE 40 TO 50 KNOT
RANGE. A POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR HAILSTONES GREATER THAN 2 INCHES
IN DIAMETER, AND A TORNADO OR TWO FROM NEAR LUBBOCK SOUTHWARD TO
MIDLAND, WHERE THE COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY, SHEAR AND LAPSE RATES
APPEARS MOST FAVORABLE.
FURTHER TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE, A LINEAR MCS IS
ONGOING. A POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE LEADING EDGE OF THE LINE. HOWEVER, THE OUTFLOW
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LINE IS WELL OUT AHEAD OF THE CONVECTION. THIS
SUGGESTS THAT THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL COULD REMAIN MORE
ISOLATED AS THE LINE MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD THIS EVENING INTO PARTS OF
NORTHWEST AND WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS.
FURTHER TO THE EAST INTO THE SABINE RIVER VALLEY, ANOTHER SEVERE
LINEAR MCS IS ONGOING. AHEAD OF THE LINE, THE RAP IS ANALYZING AN
AXIS OF INSTABILITY FROM SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA,
WHERE MLCAPE IS ESTIMATED IN THE 2000 TO 3000 J/KG RANGE. SURFACE
DEWPOINTS AHEAD OF THE LINE ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S F, WHICH IS
REFLECTED ON THE 00Z SOUNDING AT LAKE CHARLES. ON THIS SOUNDING, 0-6
KM SHEAR IS NEAR 30 KNOTS AND A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR EXISTS WITHIN THE 850 TO 700 MB LAYER. THIS COULD BE FAVORABLE
FOR CONTINUED LINEAR ORGANIZATION. A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS
AND HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER CORES WITHIN THE LINE.
...MID MISSOURI VALLEY...
THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A NARROW CORRIDOR OF MAXIMIZED
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE FROM NORTHEAST NEBRASKA INTO WESTERN MINNESOTA.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ALONG AND NEAR THE MOIST AXIS.
THE RAP IS ESTIMATING MLCAPE IN THE 1000 TO 2000 J/KG RANGE. IN
ADDITION, FORECAST SOUNDINGS EARLY THIS EVENING HAVE 0-6 KM SHEAR IN
THE 25 TO 30 KNOT RANGE, WHICH COULD BE ENOUGH FOR AN ISOLATED
POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS FOR A COUPLE MORE HOURS.
HOWEVER, LAPSE RATES ARE POOR WHICH SHOULD KEEP ANY SEVERE THREAT
MARGINAL.
..BROYLES.. 05/31/2024
READ MORE
=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=#=
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
HYPERTEXT PREPROCESSOR - DEVELOPED BY LU9DCE - VERSION 3
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
