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LU9DCE > ALERT 09.07.24 10:01l 217 Lines 6533 Bytes #180 (0) @ WW
BID : 4120_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 09-JUL24
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<DK0WUE<VK5RSV<K1AJD<VE3CGR<GB7YEW<LU9DCE
Sent: 240709/0701Z 4120@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2024 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC TORNADO WATCH 515
WW 515 TORNADO AR 082055Z - 090500Z
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 515
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM CDT MON JUL 8 2024
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON FROM 355 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...A MOIST AIR MASS AND THE REMNANTS OF BERYL AND ITS
PERIPHERAL STRONG WIND FIELD WILL OVERSPREAD THE ARKLATEX AND
BROADER ARKANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH AN INCREASING TORNADO
POTENTIAL INTO THIS EVENING.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES SOUTH OF HOT SPRINGS AR TO 35
MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF LITTLE ROCK AR. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF
THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 514...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN
STORM MOTION VECTOR 14040.
...GUYER
READ MORE
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SPC TORNADO WATCH 515 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0515 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 515
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..07/09/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 515
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-019-025-029-039-041-043-045-051-053-059-061-069-
079-085-095-097-103-105-109-113-117-119-125-127-133-145-147-149-
090440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLARK CLEVELAND CONWAY
DALLAS DESHA DREW
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HOT SPRING HOWARD JEFFERSON
LINCOLN LONOKE MONROE
MONTGOMERY OUACHITA PERRY
PIKE POLK PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEVIER WHITE WOODRUFF
YELL
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
READ MORE
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SPC TORNADO WATCH 514 STATUS REPORTS
WW 0514 STATUS UPDATES
STATUS REPORT ON WW 514
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE BPT
TO 10 WSW POE TO 30 WNW IER TO 25 E GGG TO 30 NW GGG.
..SPC..07/09/24
ATTN...WFO...SHV...LCH...HGX...
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 514
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-057-073-081-091-099-139-090140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD LAFAYETTE
LITTLE RIVER MILLER NEVADA
UNION
LAC003-013-015-017-027-031-043-049-053-061-069-079-081-111-119-
127-090140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BIENVILLE BOSSIER
CADDO CLAIBORNE DE SOTO
GRANT JACKSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES RAPIDES
RED RIVER UNION WEBSTER
WINN
TXC037-067-203-315-343-459-090140-
READ MORE
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE JUL 9 03:18:11 UTC 2024
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF TUE JUL 9 03:18:11 UTC 2024.
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SPC JUL 9, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0749 PM CDT MON JUL 08 2024
VALID 090100Z - 091200Z
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
FAR NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND ARKANSAS...
...SUMMARY...
A FEW TORNADOES, IN ASSOCIATION WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL, WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT FROM THE ARK-LA-TEX INTO THE MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
...ARK-LA-TEX/OZARKS/MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...
THE CENTER OF TROPICAL CYCLONE BERYL IS CURRENTLY LOCATED IN
NORTHEAST TEXAS. A DISTINCT RAIN BAND ASSOCIATED WITH BERYL, IS NEAR
AND ALONG AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY FROM SOUTHERN ARKANSAS SOUTHWARD
ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA. THIS RAINBAND IS SITUATED ALONG THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN EDGE OF A 50 OF 60 KNOT LOW-LEVEL SPEED MAX.
THIS SPEED MAX IS BEING SAMPLED BY THE SHREVEPORT WSR-88D VWP, WHICH
HAS 0-6 KM SHEAR NEAR 50 KNOTS, AND 0-3 KM STORM-RELATIVE HELICITY
BETWEEN 450 AND 500 M2/S2. THIS STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE
A TORNADO THREAT THIS EVENING ACROSS NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND
ARKANSAS, WHERE A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SEMI-DISCRETE
CELLS EMBEDDED IN THE RAIN BAND. AS THE CENTER OF BERYL MOVES INTO
SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS LATE THIS EVENING, THE TORNADO THREAT WILL
SHIFT NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE EASTERN OZARKS AND MID
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD BECOME MORE ISOLATED
WITH TIME FROM LATE EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS INSTABILITY
GRADUALLY DECREASES ACROSS THE REGION.
..BROYLES.. 07/09/2024
READ MORE
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