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LU9DCE > ALERT 10.03.25 11:33l 115 Lines 4120 Bytes #363 (0) @ WW
BID : 7039_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 10-MAR25
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<DK0WUE<K7EK<W0ARP<LU9DCE
Sent: 250310/1030Z 7039@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2025 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
SESSION - 05E9490351ED5441879F64AAD986F3A16DDA2EDD4C40392E1484F4428A72D9DA6D
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF MON MAR 10 05:51:01 UTC 2025
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF MON MAR 10 05:51:01 UTC 2025.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF MON MAR 10 05:51:01 UTC 2025
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF MON MAR 10 05:51:01 UTC 2025.
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SPC MAR 10, 2025 0600 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 1200Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1157 PM CDT SUN MAR 09 2025
VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA...
...SUMMARY...
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE GUSTS, AND
POTENTIALLY A BRIEF TORNADO, WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY IN PARTS OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA.
...CENTRAL FLORIDA...
A MID-LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS GEORGIA TODAY, AS A
POSITIVELY-TILTED TROUGH APPROACHES THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. AT THE
SURFACE, A COLD FRONT WILL ADVANCE SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA. AHEAD OF THE FRONT, SURFACE DEWPOINTS WILL BE MOSTLY IN
THE MID TO UPPER 60S F. AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARM WITHIN THIS
MOIST AIRMASS THIS MORNING, INSTABILITY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE. RAP
FORECAST SOUNDINGS ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF LAKE
OKEECHOBEE HAVE SBCAPE PEAKING IN THE 1000 TO 1500 J/KG RANGE.
SURFACE-BASED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AROUND MID
MORNING, SUPPORTED BY FRONTAL FORCING AND LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
ASSOCIATED WITH A MID-LEVEL JET PASSING TO THE NORTH. THE STORMS
WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM LATE MORNING INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON. NEAR THE FRONT, 0-6 KM SHEAR IS FORECAST TO BE
AROUND 50 KNOTS, WHICH SUGGESTS THAT A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT COULD
DEVELOP. SHORT MULTICELL LINE SEGMENTS COULD HAVE POTENTIAL FOR
ISOLATED SEVERE GUSTS AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES BECOME MAXIMIZED
AROUND MIDDAY. A BRIEF TORNADO COULD ALSO BE POSSIBLE, IF A ROTATING
STORM CAN DEVELOP. THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO END DURING THE
AFTERNOON, AS THE STRONGER LOW-LEVEL FLOW MOVES OFFSHORE INTO THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC.
..BROYLES/SQUITIERI.. 03/10/2025
READ MORE
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SPC MAR 10, 2025 0600 UTC DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0600Z DAY 2 OUTLOOK
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1149 PM CDT SUN MAR 09 2025
VALID 111200Z - 121200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA
TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
...SYNOPSIS...
GENERALLY LOW-AMPLITUDE WESTERLY MID/UPPER FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE
PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH MOVING INTO
THE SOUTHWEST. AT THE SURFACE, A PRIOR COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE DEEP
INTO THE GULF AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN GULF/SOUTHEAST WILL
RESULT IN A DEARTH OF BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE EAST OF THE ROCKIES
FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD. FURTHER WEST, A SURFACE LOW OFFSHORE
SOUTHERN CA WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EAST OVER SOUTHERN CA DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING. COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT BENEATH THE UPPER TROUGH
WILL SUPPORT STEEP LAPSE RATES AND WEAK INSTABILITY (MUCAPE
GENERALLY LESS THAN 300 J/KG). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OFFSHORE AND MAY PERSIST INLAND ACROSS A SMALL PART OF
SOUTHWEST CA.
..LEITMAN.. 03/10/2025
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