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CX2SA > SWPC 02.06.16 23:34l 59 Lines 2112 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 44711-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 160602/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:44711 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:44711-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2016 Jun 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 154 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jun 2016
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to
02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (03
Jun, 04 Jun, 05 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 453 km/s at 02/0346Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1311 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (03 Jun) and unsettled to
major storm levels on days two and three (04 Jun, 05 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 03 Jun-05 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Jun 085
Predicted 03 Jun-05 Jun 080/080/080
90 Day Mean 02 Jun 092
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jun 007/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jun 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jun-05 Jun 008/010-024/035-021/032
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jun-05 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/30/30
Minor Storm 05/35/30
Major-severe storm 01/20/15
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/10/10
Minor Storm 25/20/25
Major-severe storm 25/70/70
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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