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CX2SA > SWPC 04.06.16 23:34l 60 Lines 2139 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 45167-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 160604/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:45167 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:45167-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2016 Jun 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 156 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jun 2016
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to
04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (05
Jun, 06 Jun, 07 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 347 km/s at 04/1107Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1520 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to major storm levels on day one (05 Jun), quiet to
active levels on day two (06 Jun) and quiet to unsettled levels on day
three (07 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 05 Jun-07 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Jun 080
Predicted 05 Jun-07 Jun 078/078/082
90 Day Mean 04 Jun 092
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jun 005/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jun 012/016
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jun-07 Jun 025/042-013/015-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jun-07 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/30/20
Minor Storm 35/15/05
Major-severe storm 20/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/15/20
Minor Storm 20/30/25
Major-severe storm 70/40/25
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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