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CX2SA > SWPC 06.06.16 23:35l 61 Lines 2208 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 45350-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 160606/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:45350 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:45350-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2016 Jun 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 158 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Jun 2016
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to
06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (07
Jun, 08 Jun, 09 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to major storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 694 km/s at 06/0322Z. Total IMF
reached 9 nT at 06/0007Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-8 nT at 06/0006Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 801 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (07 Jun) and quiet levels
on days two and three (08 Jun, 09 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 07 Jun-09 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Jun 079
Predicted 07 Jun-09 Jun 080/080/080
90 Day Mean 06 Jun 092
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Jun 023/027
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Jun 021/028
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Jun-09 Jun 009/010-005/006-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Jun-09 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/10/10
Minor Storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor Storm 25/20/15
Major-severe storm 25/15/10
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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