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CX2SA > SWPC 24.06.16 23:38l 60 Lines 2114 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 46688-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 160624/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:46688 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:46688-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2016 Jun 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 176 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jun 2016
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to
24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (25
Jun, 26 Jun, 27 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 566 km/s at 24/1750Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 23/2116Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
23/2316Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (25 Jun, 26 Jun) and
quiet levels on day three (27 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 25 Jun-27 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Jun 076
Predicted 25 Jun-27 Jun 080/078/078
90 Day Mean 24 Jun 090
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jun 010/011
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Jun 011/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun 010/012-009/010-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jun-27 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/05
Minor Storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/15
Minor Storm 30/30/10
Major-severe storm 35/25/05
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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