| |
CX2SA > SWPC 29.06.16 23:23l 62 Lines 2240 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 47294-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 160629/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:47294 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:47294-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2016 Jun 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 181 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jun 2016
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to
29/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (30
Jun, 01 Jul, 02 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 454 km/s at 28/2305Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
28/2140Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
29/1347Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2248 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (30 Jun), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (01 Jul) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day
three (02 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 30 Jun-02 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Jun 074
Predicted 30 Jun-02 Jul 075/080/080
90 Day Mean 29 Jun 090
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jun 006/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Jun 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Jun-02 Jul 012/015-009/010-018/030
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jun-02 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/15/40
Minor Storm 10/05/20
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/10
Minor Storm 35/25/30
Major-severe storm 40/20/55
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
