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CX2SA > SWPC 26.07.16 23:24l 59 Lines 2066 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 49649-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 160726/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:49649 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:49649-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2016 Jul 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 208 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jul 2016
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to
26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (27
Jul, 28 Jul, 29 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 426 km/s at 25/2119Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 944 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one, two, and three (27 Jul, 28
Jul, 29 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 27 Jul-29 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Jul 074
Predicted 27 Jul-29 Jul 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 26 Jul 088
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jul 015/024
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Jul 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Jul-29 Jul 010/012-010/012-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jul-29 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 35/30/25
Minor Storm 15/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor Storm 30/30/30
Major-severe storm 45/40/30
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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