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CX2SA > SWPC 02.11.16 23:27l 60 Lines 2141 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 57087-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 161102/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:57087 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:57087-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2016 Nov 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 307 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Nov 2016
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to
02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (03 Nov, 04 Nov, 05 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 492 km/s at 01/2203Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 02/1255Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
02/1252Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 10939 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (03 Nov,
04 Nov, 05 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Nov 076
Predicted 03 Nov-05 Nov 076/074/072
90 Day Mean 02 Nov 087
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Nov 009/011
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Nov 010/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov 007/008-008/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/30/15
Minor Storm 05/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 25/30/20
Major-severe storm 30/40/20
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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