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CX2SA > SWPC 28.12.16 23:29l 59 Lines 2138 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 61151-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 161228/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:61151 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:61151-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2016 Dec 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 363 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Dec 2016
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z to
28/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There is currently 1 numbered sunspot region on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (29
Dec, 30 Dec, 31 Dec).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 561 km/s at 27/2221Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 12391 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (29 Dec), quiet to active levels on day
two (30 Dec) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (31 Dec).
III. Event probabilities 29 Dec-31 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 28 Dec 073
Predicted 29 Dec-31 Dec 073/070/072
90 Day Mean 28 Dec 080
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Dec 008/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Dec 007/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Dec-31 Dec 006/005-010/012-017/024
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Dec-31 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/35/35
Minor Storm 01/20/25
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/10/10
Minor Storm 20/25/25
Major-severe storm 10/50/55
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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