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CX2SA > SWPC 09.02.17 23:28l 62 Lines 2213 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 65266-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 170209/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:65266 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:65266-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Feb 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 40 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Feb 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to
09/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
09/0326Z from Region 2635 (N13E13). There are currently 1 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (10 Feb, 11 Feb, 12 Feb).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 464 km/s at 09/1926Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at
09/1739Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
09/1820Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 13674 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (10 Feb, 11 Feb, 12
Feb).
III. Event probabilities 10 Feb-12 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Feb 073
Predicted 10 Feb-12 Feb 074/074/074
90 Day Mean 09 Feb 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Feb 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Feb 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Feb-12 Feb 005/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Feb-12 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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