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CX2SA > SWPC 06.03.17 23:26l 60 Lines 2173 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 1875-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 170306/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:1875 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:1875-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Mar 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 65 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Mar 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to
06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (07 Mar, 08 Mar, 09 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 667 km/s at 05/2318Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 06/1719Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
06/1856Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 27935 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (07 Mar) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (08 Mar, 09 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 07 Mar-09 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Mar 072
Predicted 07 Mar-09 Mar 072/072/071
90 Day Mean 06 Mar 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Mar 011/013
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Mar 019/024
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Mar-09 Mar 012/014-010/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Mar-09 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/05
Minor Storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 25/20/15
Major-severe storm 25/20/10
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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