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CX2SA > SWPC 07.03.17 23:26l 60 Lines 2167 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 1963-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 170307/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:1963 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:1963-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Mar 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 66 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Mar 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to
07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (08 Mar, 09 Mar, 10 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at unsettled to active levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 670 km/s at 07/1351Z. Total IMF
reached 6 nT at 07/0738Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-5 nT at 07/0349Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit
reached a peak level of 31175 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (08 Mar, 09 Mar)
and quiet levels on day three (10 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 08 Mar-10 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Mar 072
Predicted 08 Mar-10 Mar 072/072/072
90 Day Mean 07 Mar 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Mar 016/022
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Mar 012/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Mar-10 Mar 010/010-007/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Mar-10 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/10/10
Minor Storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 25/15/15
Major-severe storm 25/15/10
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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