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CX2SA > SWPC 19.03.17 23:24l 58 Lines 2077 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 2863-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 170319/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:2863 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:2863-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Mar 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 78 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Mar 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z to
19/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (20 Mar, 21 Mar, 22 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 330 km/s at 19/1355Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 865 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (20 Mar), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (21 Mar) and quiet to active levels on day three (22 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 20 Mar-22 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Mar 071
Predicted 20 Mar-22 Mar 070/070/071
90 Day Mean 19 Mar 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Mar 001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Mar 003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Mar-22 Mar 006/005-007/008-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Mar-22 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/20
Minor Storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/20/30
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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