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CX2SA > SWPC 24.05.17 23:24l 59 Lines 2091 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 8353-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 170524/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:8353 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:8353-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 May 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 144 Issued at 2200Z on 24 May 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to
24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (25
May, 26 May, 27 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 537 km/s at 24/0039Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 13965 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (25 May) and quiet to active levels on
days two and three (26 May, 27 May).
III. Event probabilities 25 May-27 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 May 078
Predicted 25 May-27 May 078/078/078
90 Day Mean 24 May 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 May 008/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 May 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 May-27 May 005/005-010/012-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 May-27 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/20/20
Minor Storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/20/20
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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