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CX2SA > SWPC 05.06.17 23:26l 64 Lines 2357 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 9398-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 170605/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:9398 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:9398-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Jun 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 156 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jun 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to
05/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C2 event observed at
05/0531Z from Region 2661 (N06E13). There are currently 1 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares and a slight chance for an M-class
flare on day one (06 Jun) and expected to be very low with a chance for
a C-class flares on days two and three (07 Jun, 08 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 406 km/s at 04/2112Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
05/1302Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
05/1255Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 355 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (06 Jun, 07 Jun, 08
Jun).
III. Event probabilities 06 Jun-08 Jun
Class M 10/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Jun 079
Predicted 06 Jun-08 Jun 078/078/078
90 Day Mean 05 Jun 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jun 003/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jun 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jun-08 Jun 005/005-006/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jun-08 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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