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CX2SA > SWPC 02.07.17 23:23l 59 Lines 2098 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 12647-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 170702/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:12647 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:12647-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Jul 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 183 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jul 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to
02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (03 Jul, 04 Jul, 05 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 551 km/s at 02/1438Z. Total IMF
reached 16 nT at 01/2142Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-10 nT at 02/0718Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (03 Jul) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (04 Jul, 05 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Jul 071
Predicted 03 Jul-05 Jul 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 02 Jul 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jul 014/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jul 016/022
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul 014/019-011/011-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 35/30/10
Minor Storm 20/10/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/25/20
Major-severe storm 15/40/20
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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