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CX2SA > SWPC 05.07.17 23:23l 59 Lines 2030 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 12930-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 170705/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:12930 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:12930-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Jul 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 186 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jul 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to
05/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (06 Jul, 07 Jul, 08 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 362 km/s at 04/2154Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
05/2059Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
05/2046Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (06 Jul, 07 Jul, 08
Jul).
III. Event probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Jul 073
Predicted 06 Jul-08 Jul 074/074/075
90 Day Mean 05 Jul 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jul 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jul 004/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jul-08 Jul 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/10
Minor Storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/20/20
Major-severe storm 15/10/10
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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