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CX2SA > SWPC 14.08.17 07:58l 58 Lines 2053 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 16153-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<HB9CSR<IK7NXU<IK6IHL<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<IK1NHL<CX2SA
Sent: 170808/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:16153 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:16153-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Aug 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 220 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Aug 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to
08/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (09 Aug, 10 Aug, 11 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 489 km/s at 08/0601Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 10425 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (09 Aug, 10 Aug) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (11 Aug).
III. Event probabilities 09 Aug-11 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Aug 071
Predicted 09 Aug-11 Aug 071/071/071
90 Day Mean 08 Aug 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Aug 006/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Aug 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Aug-11 Aug 006/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Aug-11 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/20
Minor Storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/30
Major-severe storm 15/15/30
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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