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CX2SA > SWPC 09.10.17 23:23l 58 Lines 2070 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 22518-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 171009/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:22518 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:22518-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Oct 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 282 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Oct 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to
09/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (10 Oct, 11 Oct, 12 Oct).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 437 km/s at 09/0424Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 394 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (10 Oct) and unsettled to
minor storm levels on days two and three (11 Oct, 12 Oct).
III. Event probabilities 10 Oct-12 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Oct 072
Predicted 10 Oct-12 Oct 072/072/072
90 Day Mean 09 Oct 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Oct 003/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Oct 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Oct-12 Oct 007/008-017/025-023/030
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Oct-12 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/35/35
Minor Storm 05/25/25
Major-severe storm 01/15/15
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/05/05
Minor Storm 25/20/20
Major-severe storm 25/65/65
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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