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OK0NAG > SOLAR 19.10.17 13:31l 110 Lines 3802 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Thu, 19 Oct 2017 12:30:18 GMT
:Issued: 2017 Oct 19 1230 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU292
UGEOA 30512 71019 1230/ 9930/
10192 20192 30192
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 19 Oct 2017 until 21 Oct
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 073 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 007
COMMENT: The Sun produced no flares in the past 24 hours. The probability
for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 25%, mostly from
returning NOAA region 2682 which is approaching the East limb. No Earth-
directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available
coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal
levels.
Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR varied between about 340 and 400 km/s
in the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was
predominantlty directed away from the Sun and its magnitude ranged between
about 2 and 10 nT. Bz was predominantly negative, but there were no
extended intervals with Bz below -5 nT. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic
conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 0 and 3) were
registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels
are
expected on October 19, 20 and 21.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 20 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 71019 1230/ 18///
10000 20730 3007/ 4//// 80000 90000
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 71019 1230/ ///// /////
99999
USSPS 31405 19070 00032
UMAGF 30503 71019 1004/ 18068 1/014 20211 32332
UMAGF 31523 71019 0000/ 18000 1/007 22201 31124
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