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CX2SA > SWPC 28.10.17 23:24l 61 Lines 2158 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 24587-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 171028/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:24587 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:24587-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Oct 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 301 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Oct 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z to
28/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (29
Oct, 30 Oct, 31 Oct).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 443 km/s at 27/2108Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
28/0251Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
28/0248Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2202 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (29 Oct, 30 Oct, 31
Oct).
III. Event probabilities 29 Oct-31 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 28 Oct 075
Predicted 29 Oct-31 Oct 075/075/074
90 Day Mean 28 Oct 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Oct 004/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Oct 007/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Oct-31 Oct 005/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Oct-31 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/10
Minor Storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/15
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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