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CX2SA > SWPC 01.11.17 23:22l 60 Lines 2181 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 25198-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 171101/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:25198 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:25198-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Nov 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 305 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Nov 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to
01/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (02 Nov, 03 Nov, 04 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 307 km/s at 01/1601Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at
01/1731Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
01/1905Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2866 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (02 Nov), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (03 Nov) and quiet levels on day three (04 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 02 Nov-04 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Nov 073
Predicted 02 Nov-04 Nov 073/074/073
90 Day Mean 01 Nov 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Oct 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Nov 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Nov-04 Nov 011/012-008/008-006/006
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Nov-04 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/25/15
Minor Storm 10/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor Storm 25/20/20
Major-severe storm 20/20/15
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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