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CX2SA > SWPC 04.11.17 23:23l 60 Lines 2102 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 25522-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 171104/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:25522 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:25522-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Nov 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 308 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Nov 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to
04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (05 Nov, 06 Nov, 07 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 458 km/s at 04/1701Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at
04/0147Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
04/0342Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (05 Nov), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (06 Nov) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (07
Nov).
III. Event probabilities 05 Nov-07 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Nov 072
Predicted 05 Nov-07 Nov 072/071/070
90 Day Mean 04 Nov 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Nov 007/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Nov 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Nov-07 Nov 006/005-008/010-018/027
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Nov-07 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/40
Minor Storm 01/05/25
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/25/30
Major-severe storm 10/20/45
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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