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CX2SA > SWPC 05.11.17 23:22l 57 Lines 1984 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 25634-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 171105/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:25634 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:25634-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Nov 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 309 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Nov 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to
05/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (06 Nov, 07 Nov, 08 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 444 km/s at 04/2148Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (06 Nov) and unsettled to
minor storm levels on days two and three (07 Nov, 08 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 06 Nov-08 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Nov 071
Predicted 06 Nov-08 Nov 071/070/070
90 Day Mean 05 Nov 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Nov 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Nov 003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Nov-08 Nov 008/010-018/027-021/030
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Nov-08 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/40/45
Minor Storm 05/25/35
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/10
Minor Storm 25/30/30
Major-severe storm 20/45/60
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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