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CX2SA > SWPC 07.11.17 23:23l 59 Lines 2105 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 25879-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 171107/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:25879 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:25879-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Nov 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 311 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Nov 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to
07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (08 Nov, 09 Nov, 10 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 675 km/s at 07/1920Z. Total IMF
reached 22 nT at 07/1548Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-15 nT at 07/1508Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on days one and three (08 Nov,
10 Nov) and active to minor storm levels on day two (09 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 08 Nov-10 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Nov 068
Predicted 08 Nov-10 Nov 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 07 Nov 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Nov 000/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Nov 018/032
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Nov-10 Nov 024/032-028/036-020/028
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Nov-10 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 35/35/35
Minor Storm 30/30/25
Major-severe storm 15/15/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/15
Minor Storm 25/20/25
Major-severe storm 60/55/50
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
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