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OK0NAG > SOLAR    11.11.17 13:39l 120 Lines 4063 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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To: solar@eu
Date: Sat, 11 Nov 2017 12:38:55 GMT

Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2017 Nov 11 1238 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

GEOALERT BRU315
UGEOA 30512 71111 1238/ 9930/ 
10112 20112 30112 
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 11 Nov 2017 until 13 Nov 
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Nov 2017  10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Nov 2017  10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Nov 2017  10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 007
COMMENT: The solar activity is quiet as the solar disc remains spotless; 
no
flare has been recorded in past 24 h on the visible disc.  The X-ray flux

is expected to remain below C level.

A wide spread coronal dimming associated with a filament eruption was
observed in the North-East quadrant on Nov 10 around 9:00 UT. The eruption

was then detected in SOHO/LASCO-C2 coronagraph on Nov 10 at 08:12 UT.
Further analysis shows that the Coronal Mass Ejections has no Earth
directed component.
The solar protons flux remained at background levels over the past 24
hours.

The Earth remained in the fast flow until Nov 10 around 19:00 UT, the speed

has then continuously decreased to reach the current value of 535 km/s. 
The
interplanetary magnetic field magnitude remained below 5 nT and the Bz

component was fluctuating between -3 and 3 nT. The solar wind speed is

expected to continue to decrease until it reaches its nominal level.

Unsettle to disturb geomagnetic conditions were observed (local K Dourbes

1-4, NOAA Kp 2-4). The geomagnetic conditions are expected to reach the

nominal level with the decrease of the solar wind speed.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 000, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 71111 1238/ 10/// 
1//// 20690 3020/ 4//// 8//// 9//// 
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES 

NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 71111 1238/ ///// ///// 
99999
USSPS 21305 09206 01232 83000 41405 0/102
UMAGF 30503 71111 1004/ 10062 1/028 23334 33332
UMAGF 31523 71111 0000/ 10007 1/020 23333 34443

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

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