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CX2SA > SWPC 22.11.17 23:25l 60 Lines 2163 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 27348-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 171122/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:27348 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:27348-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Nov 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 326 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Nov 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z to
22/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (23 Nov, 24 Nov, 25 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 598 km/s at 21/2118Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 22/0548Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
22/1620Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2742 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (23 Nov) and quiet levels
on days two and three (24 Nov, 25 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 23 Nov-25 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 Nov 073
Predicted 23 Nov-25 Nov 073/073/073
90 Day Mean 22 Nov 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Nov 016/022
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Nov 009/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Nov-25 Nov 007/008-005/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Nov-25 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor Storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/20
Major-severe storm 15/15/15
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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