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CX2SA > SWPC 23.11.17 23:25l 60 Lines 2166 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 27479-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 171123/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:27479 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:27479-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Nov 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 327 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Nov 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z to
23/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (24 Nov, 25 Nov, 26 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 504 km/s at 22/2203Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 23/2030Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
23/1817Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 4658 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (24 Nov) and quiet levels
on days two and three (25 Nov, 26 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 24 Nov-26 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 23 Nov 072
Predicted 24 Nov-26 Nov 072/072/072
90 Day Mean 23 Nov 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Nov 007/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Nov 008/009
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Nov-26 Nov 008/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Nov-26 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/10
Minor Storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/15/15
Major-severe storm 15/15/15
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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