| |
CX2SA > SWPC 29.11.17 23:24l 61 Lines 2224 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 28068-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 171129/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:28068 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:28068-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Nov 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 333 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Nov 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to
29/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on day one (30 Nov) and
expected to be very low on days two and three (01 Dec, 02 Dec).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 437 km/s at 28/2338Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
29/1136Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
29/2034Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 211 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (30 Nov) and quiet levels on
days two and three (01 Dec, 02 Dec).
III. Event probabilities 30 Nov-02 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Nov 073
Predicted 30 Nov-02 Dec 072/071/069
90 Day Mean 29 Nov 080
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Nov 006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Nov 007/009
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Nov-02 Dec 009/010-006/006-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Nov-02 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/15/10
Minor Storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 30/20/15
Major-severe storm 35/20/15
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
