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OK0NAG > SOLAR 12.12.17 13:49l 125 Lines 4230 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Tue, 12 Dec 2017 12:30:16 GMT
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU346
UGEOA 30512 71212 1230/ 9930/
10122 21122 30122
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 12 Dec 2017 until 14 Dec
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Dec 2017 10CM FLUX: 072 / AP: 019
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Dec 2017 10CM FLUX: 072 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Dec 2017 10CM FLUX: 072 / AP: 007
COMMENT: The Sun did not produce any C flares in the past 24 hours. The
chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 15%. No Earth-
directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available
coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal
levels.
In the past 24 hours, solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR increased from
420 to 530 km/s, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field
(IMF) varied between 2 and 15 nT. There were no extended periods with Bz
below -5 nT. These enhanced solar wind conditions are due to the high speed
stream from the positive coronal hole that crossed the central meridian
on
December 8. Continued influence from this high speed stream is expected
on
December 12 and 13. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes
between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 3) were registered in the past 24
hours. Quiet to active geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 5) are possible
on
December 12 and 13 due to the influence of the high speed stream associated
with a positive coronal hole, with a chance for minor storm conditions
(K
Dourbes = 5). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are
expected on December 14.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 013, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 71212 1230/ 11///
1//// 20720 3010/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 71212 1230/ 12/07 12101
10066 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 22402 01000
99999
USSPS 31405 12078 01452 66001 22402 01204
USSPS 32404 10074 01132 86000 25203 0/101
UMAGF 30503 71212 1004/ 11068 1/019 22232 33232
UMAGF 31523 71212 0000/ 11009 1/010 21322 33332
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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