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CX2SA > SWPC 20.01.18 23:23l 59 Lines 2089 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 33042_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180120/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:33042 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:33042_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Jan 20 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 20 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Jan 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z to
20/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (21 Jan, 22 Jan, 23 Jan).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 454 km/s at 20/1901Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 20/0647Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
20/0559Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (21 Jan) and quiet to
unsettled levels on days two and three (22 Jan, 23 Jan).
III. Event probabilities 21 Jan-23 Jan
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 20 Jan 070
Predicted 21 Jan-23 Jan 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 20 Jan 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 19 Jan 006/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Jan 009/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Jan-23 Jan 011/012-008/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Jan-23 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/20
Minor Storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/20
Minor Storm 30/25/25
Major-severe storm 35/25/20
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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