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OK0NAG > SOLAR 22.01.18 13:50l 124 Lines 4116 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Mon, 22 Jan 2018 12:30:17 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU022
UGEOA 30512 80122 1230/ 9930/
10222 20222 30222
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 22 Jan 2018 until 24 Jan
2018
PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Jan 2018 10CM FLUX: 069 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Jan 2018 10CM FLUX: 069 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Jan 2018 10CM FLUX: 068 / AP: 008
COMMENT: Solar activity was at very low levels. Spotless region NOAA 2696
(located at S12W55) was the source of a B9.5 flare peaking at 02:57UT,
during which its group filament was ejected. Coronal dimming and a coronal
wave were observed in SDO/AIA imagery. Preliminary analysis indicates that
the bulk of the associated coronal mass ejection (CME) is not earth-
directed. No earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraphic
imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels.
Earth is under the influence of the high speed stream (HSS) from the trans-
equatorial extension of the negative southern polar coronal hole (CH).
Solar wind speed increased from an initial 460 km/s to its current 530
km/s, peaking around 00:40UT near 580 km/s (DSCOVR). Bz oscillated between
-6 and +8 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was directed towards the
Sun.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels, with an active
episode recorded at Dourbes during the 12-15UT interval. In response to
the
current HSS, mostly quiet to unsettled geomagnetic activity is expected
with a chance on an isolated active episode.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 09 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 80122 1230/ 21///
1//// 20680 3011/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 80122 1230/ ///// /////
99999
USSPS 31405 22090 00022
UMAGF 30503 80122 1004/ 21061 1/021 21232 33333
UMAGF 31523 80122 0000/ 21000 1/011 22122 33243
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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