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CX2SA > SWPC 29.01.18 23:25l 60 Lines 2151 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 33870_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180129/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:33870 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:33870_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Jan 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 29 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jan 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to
29/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (30 Jan, 31 Jan, 01 Feb).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 360 km/s at 29/1149Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
29/1015Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
29/1046Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 204 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (30 Jan, 31 Jan)
and quiet levels on day three (01 Feb).
III. Event probabilities 30 Jan-01 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Jan 068
Predicted 30 Jan-01 Feb 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 29 Jan 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jan 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Jan 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Jan-01 Feb 007/008-008/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jan-01 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/15
Minor Storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/15
Minor Storm 30/25/20
Major-severe storm 25/20/20
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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