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OK0NAG > SOLAR 16.02.18 13:32l 120 Lines 4126 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Fri, 16 Feb 2018 12:30:17 GMT
Reply-to: no-reply-sidc@oma.be
Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
To: solar@eu
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From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
:Issued: 2018 Feb 16 1230 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU047
UGEOA 30512 80216 1230/ 9930/
10162 21162 30162
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 16 Feb 2018 until 18 Feb
2018
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Feb 2018 10CM FLUX: 073 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Feb 2018 10CM FLUX: 072 / AP: 016
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Feb 2018 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 010
COMMENT: Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. No significant
flares have been recorded. Active Region (AR) 2699 (Mcintosh class:Cao;
Mag. type:Beta) has been most active, showing considerable flux emergence
and cancellation, but is now approaching the western limb. The greater
than
10MeV proton flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.
No
Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Over the
next 24 hours there is a small chance of C-class flares.
The solar wind speed fluctuated around 375 km/s over the past 24 hours.
The
total magnetic field strength has increased from around 5 nT to 15 nT,
the
Bz component has fluctuated between -5 and +15 nT. Geomagnetic conditions
ranged between Kp index 1-4 (NOAA) and local K index 1-4 (Dourbes) over
the
past 24 hours. A High Speed Stream (HSS) associated with a large coronal
hole that passed the central meridian a couple of days ago may enhance
solar wind conditions over the next couple of days. Geomagnetic conditions
are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 013, BASED ON 19 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 80216 1230/ 15///
1//// 20730 3020/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 80216 1230/ 16/07 16101
10072 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60006 36907 02000
99999
USSPS 31405 16076 01632 72003 36907 21306
USSPS 32404 14066 01832 05007 34308 21408
USSPS 21305 14215 01722 03012 35205 31507
UMAGF 30503 80216 1004/ 15067 1/026 22225 33322
UMAGF 31523 80216 0000/ 15002 1/020 22022 32644
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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