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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.02.18 14:17l 115 Lines 3946 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
To: solar@eu
Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Sat, 17 Feb 2018 12:55:36 GMT
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:Issued: 2018 Feb 17 1255 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU048
UGEOA 30512 80217 1255/ 9930/
10172 21172 30172
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 Feb 2018 until 19 Feb
2018
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Feb 2018 10CM FLUX: 072 / AP: 019
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Feb 2018 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Feb 2018 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. No significant
flares have been recorded. Active Region (AR) 2699 (Mcintosh class:Hax;
Mag. type:Alpha) has reached the west limb. The greater than 10MeV proton
flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. No Earth
directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Over the next
24
hours there is a small chance of C-class flares.
The solar wind speed has increased from around 350 to 500 km/s over the
past 24 hours. The total magnetic field strength has slowly decreased from
around 10 to 5 nT, the Bz component has fluctuated between -6 and +6 nT.
Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 1-4 (NOAA) and local K index
1-3 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. A High Speed Stream (HSS) associated
with a large coronal hole that passed the central meridian a couple of
days
ago has enhanced solar wind speeds at Earth. Geomagnetic conditions are
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 80217 1255/ 16///
10016 20720 3008/ 4//// 80001 90030
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 80217 1255/ 16/07 17101
10072 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60006 36907 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 15118 01422 05010 36108 21504
UMAGF 30503 80217 1004/ 16061 1/015 22211 32332
UMAGF 31523 80217 0000/ 16004 1/008 22222 31223
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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