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W7EES > SWPC 13.03.18 00:46l 46 Lines 1501 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 2127_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<JH4XSY<JE7YGF<N9PMO<N9LYA<W7EES
Sent: 180312/2319Z 2127@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.15
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 71 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Mar 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z to
12/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (13 Mar, 14 Mar, 15 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 407 km/s at 12/0054Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (13 Mar) and quiet to
minor storm levels on days two and three (14 Mar, 15 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 13 Mar-15 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 Mar 068
Predicted 13 Mar-15 Mar 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 12 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Mar 007/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Mar 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Mar-15 Mar 008/008-015/018-014/018
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Mar-15 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/35/35
Minor Storm 10/25/25
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor Storm 25/25/25
Major-severe storm 30/55/55
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