| |
W7EES > SWPC 30.03.18 18:51l 47 Lines 1584 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 2789_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IR2UBX<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<VE2PKT<N0KFQ<NS2B<N9PMO<N9LYA<W7EES
Sent: 180328/2347Z 2789@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.15
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 87 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Mar 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 27/2100Z to
28/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (29 Mar, 30 Mar, 31 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 509 km/s at 27/2101Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 42064 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (29 Mar, 30 Mar) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (31 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 29 Mar-31 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 28 Mar 069
Predicted 29 Mar-31 Mar 069/070/070
90 Day Mean 28 Mar 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Mar 007/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Mar 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 29 Mar-31 Mar 013/015-011/012-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 29 Mar-31 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/30/15
Minor Storm 15/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor Storm 30/30/25
Major-severe storm 40/35/20
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
