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W7EES > SWPC 03.05.18 01:10l 48 Lines 1637 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 3486_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IR2UBX<IK6ZDE<VE2PKT<ZL2BAU<W9ABA<N9LYA<W7EES
Sent: 180502/2343Z 3486@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.16
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 122 Issued at 2200Z on 02 May 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to
02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (03 May, 04 May, 05 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 440 km/s at 01/2150Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
02/1058Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
02/0630Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 727 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (03 May, 04 May, 05
May).
III. Event probabilities 03 May-05 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 May 067
Predicted 03 May-05 May 067/067/068
90 Day Mean 02 May 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 May 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 May 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 May-05 May 005/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 May-05 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/10/10
Minor Storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 10/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/15/15
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