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CX2SA > SWPC 14.06.18 23:33l 60 Lines 2117 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 45990_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180614/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:45990 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:45990_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Jun 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 165 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jun 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to
14/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (15 Jun, 16 Jun, 17 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 352 km/s at 14/0930Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
14/0716Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
14/0534Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 1606 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (15 Jun, 16 Jun, 17
Jun).
III. Event probabilities 15 Jun-17 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Jun 072
Predicted 15 Jun-17 Jun 072/072/072
90 Day Mean 14 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jun 007/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jun 006/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jun-17 Jun 005/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jun-17 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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