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CX2SA > SWPC 16.06.18 23:33l 58 Lines 2051 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 46114_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180616/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:46114 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:46114_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Jun 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 167 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Jun 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 15/2100Z to
16/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (17 Jun, 18 Jun, 19 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 312 km/s at 16/1607Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 508 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (17 Jun) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (18 Jun, 19 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 16 Jun 071
Predicted 17 Jun-19 Jun 072/072/072
90 Day Mean 16 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Jun 006/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Jun 004/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun 005/005-008/008-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/20/20
Minor Storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/20
Minor Storm 20/30/30
Major-severe storm 10/25/25
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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