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W7EES > SWPC 25.06.18 22:35l 50 Lines 1640 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 3806_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IR2UBX<SR1BSZ<OK0NBR<OK2PEN<LU9DCE<GB7YEW<AB0AF<KF5JRV<N9LCF<
KC8KPM<N9LYA<W7EES
Sent: 180608/2220Z 3806@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.16
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 159 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jun 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to
08/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (09 Jun, 10 Jun, 11 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 393 km/s at 08/0042Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
07/2102Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
08/0223Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2574 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (09 Jun, 10 Jun, 11
Jun).
III. Event probabilities 09 Jun-11 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Jun 068
Predicted 09 Jun-11 Jun 069/069/071
90 Day Mean 08 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jun 006/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Jun 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Jun-11 Jun 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jun-11 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
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