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CX2SA > SWPC 25.06.18 23:22l 62 Lines 2255 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 46741_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180625/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:46741 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:46741_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Jun 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 176 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Jun 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to
25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (26
Jun, 27 Jun, 28 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 472 km/s at 24/2228Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 25/2035Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
25/2044Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2919 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (26 Jun), unsettled to minor
storm levels on day two (27 Jun) and quiet to minor storm levels on day
three (28 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 26 Jun-28 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Jun 073
Predicted 26 Jun-28 Jun 073/072/072
90 Day Mean 25 Jun 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Jun 008/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Jun 006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Jun-28 Jun 007/010-016/025-014/018
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Jun-28 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/35/40
Minor Storm 10/30/25
Major-severe storm 01/10/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/05/10
Minor Storm 25/20/25
Major-severe storm 40/70/65
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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