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CX2SA > SWPC 04.07.18 23:24l 60 Lines 2117 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 47341_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180704/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:47341 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:47341_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Jul 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 185 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jul 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to
04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (05 Jul, 06 Jul, 07 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 351 km/s at 04/0329Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
04/1732Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
04/0349Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 3066 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (05 Jul, 06 Jul, 07
Jul).
III. Event probabilities 05 Jul-07 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Jul 068
Predicted 05 Jul-07 Jul 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 04 Jul 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jul 005/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jul 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jul-07 Jul 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jul-07 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 15/15/15
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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