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CX2SA > SWPC 22.07.18 23:23l 60 Lines 2164 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 48743_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<VE2PKT<CX2SA
Sent: 180722/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:48743 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:48743_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Jul 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 203 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Jul 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z to
22/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (23 Jul, 24 Jul, 25 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 541 km/s at 21/2233Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
22/0150Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
22/0711Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 182 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (23 Jul, 25 Jul)
and quiet to minor storm levels on day two (24 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 23 Jul-25 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 Jul 068
Predicted 23 Jul-25 Jul 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 22 Jul 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Jul 010/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Jul 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Jul-25 Jul 008/010-019/025-014/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Jul-25 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/40/30
Minor Storm 10/30/15
Major-severe storm 01/05/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/05/15
Minor Storm 25/20/30
Major-severe storm 35/65/45
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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