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CX2SA > SWPC 07.08.18 23:28l 59 Lines 2080 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 49993_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180807/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:49993 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:49993_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Aug 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 219 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Aug 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z to
07/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (08 Aug, 09 Aug, 10 Aug).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 383 km/s at 07/2032Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 07/1219Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
07/1228Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (08 Aug, 10
Aug) and quiet levels on day two (09 Aug).
III. Event probabilities 08 Aug-10 Aug
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Aug 070
Predicted 08 Aug-10 Aug 070/070/069
90 Day Mean 07 Aug 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Aug 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Aug 008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Aug-10 Aug 008/008-006/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Aug-10 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/10/20
Minor Storm 05/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor Storm 30/20/25
Major-severe storm 25/20/25
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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