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W7EES > SWPC 26.10.18 00:05l 47 Lines 1551 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 5611_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA<ZL2BAU<N9PMO<NS2B<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 181025/2246Z 5611@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.16
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 298 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Oct 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z to
25/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (26 Oct, 27 Oct, 28 Oct).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 371 km/s at 24/2341Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
25/1436Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
25/1402Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (26 Oct, 27 Oct, 28
Oct).
III. Event probabilities 26 Oct-28 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Oct 069
Predicted 26 Oct-28 Oct 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 25 Oct 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Oct 002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Oct 008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Oct-28 Oct 005/005-006/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Oct-28 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/20
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
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