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W7EES > SWPC 27.10.18 23:34l 60 Lines 1912 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 5638_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<JH4XSY<JE7YGF<LU4ECL<LU1HVK<XE1FH<LW2DQC<LU4ECL<
N3HYM
Sent: 181027/2230Z 9906@N3HYM.MD.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.16
MID: 5638_W7EES
Date: 2018/10/27 22:13
Type: Bulletin
From: W7EES@W7EES
To: SWPC@WW
Subject: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Mbo: W7EES
Body: 1816
R:181027/2229Z 3573@N9LCF.#NEIN.IN.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.16
R:181027/2229Z 3365@W9JUN.#SEIN.IN.USA.IN BPQ6.0.16
R:181027/2213Z 5638@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.16
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 300 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Oct 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z to
27/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (28 Oct, 29 Oct, 30 Oct).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 429 km/s at 27/0537Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
26/2214Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
26/2329Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (28 Oct), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (29 Oct) and quiet to active levels on day three (30 Oct).
III. Event probabilities 28 Oct-30 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 27 Oct 069
Predicted 28 Oct-30 Oct 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 27 Oct 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Oct 006/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Oct 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Oct-30 Oct 005/005-007/008-009/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Oct-30 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/30
Minor Storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor Storm 20/25/30
Major-severe storm 10/20/40
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