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W7EES > SWPC 03.11.18 00:08l 44 Lines 1501 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 5736_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<JH4XSY<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 181102/2255Z 5736@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.16
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 306 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Nov 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to
02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (03 Nov, 04 Nov, 05 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 349 km/s at 02/0949Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (03 Nov) and unsettled
to active levels on days two and three (04 Nov, 05 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Nov 068
Predicted 03 Nov-05 Nov 067/067/067
90 Day Mean 02 Nov 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Nov 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Nov 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov 016/025-015/020-011/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Nov-05 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 35/30/25
Minor Storm 20/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 25/30/30
Major-severe storm 45/35/35
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